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SterlingTerrell.net: Cotton Price Model

Cotton Price Model



Current

For access to the current Cotton Price Model, a monthly consult is required.

The archive listed below, is free.

Notes
A regression model, like the one located here can give insight into how prices, on average, would react given a change in one or more fundamental supply or demand factors.  A proper interpretation of this price model would be:

"Over the last number of years, if cotton supply and demand were at their current levels, we would - on average -  expect the US price of cotton to be approximately:  ____ cents."



Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.985897697
R Square 0.971994269
Adjusted R Square 0.933742836
Standard Error 12.96136825
Observations 41



As a side note, this model does not attempt to forecast the future direction or level of cotton prices. I believe most people's pockets are not as deep as the market's when it come to questions about what the market "should" be doing.

Find the monthly cotton newsletter, The Cotton Club, by clicking the link, here.

Historical
April 2017 CPM:  57.8 cents, U.S
March 2017 CPM:  54.2 cents, U.S
February 2017 CPM:  53.2 cents, U.S
January 2017 CPM:  48.7 cents, U.S.
December 2016 CPM:  52.4 cents, U.S.
November 2016 CPM:  53.4 cents, U.S.
October 2016 CPM:  54.0 cents, U.S.
September 2016 CPM: 50.4 
August 2016 CPM: 50.7
July 2016 CPM: 52.0
June 2016 CPM: 51.2 cents, U.S.
May 2016 CPM: 52.6 cents, U.S.
April 2016 CPM: 54.4 cents, U.S.
March 2016 CPM:  55.7 cents, U.S
February 2016 CPM:  54.9 cents, U.S
January 2016 CPM:  58.3 cents, U.S.
December 2015 CPM:  55.4 cents, U.S.
November 2015 CPM:  56.3 cents, U.S.
October 2015 CPM:  58.3 cents, U.S.
September 2015 CPM:  60.1 cents, U.S.
August 2015 CPM:  62.2 cents, U.S. (Model Change)
August 2015 CPM:  60.6 cents, U.S.
July 2015 CPM:  55.6 cents, U.S.
June 2015 CPM:  62.6 cents, U.S.
May 2015 CPM:  55.4 cents, U.S.
April 2015 CPM:  59.4 cents, U.S.
March 2015 CPM:  60.3 cents, U.S.
February 2015 CPM:  60.8 cents, U.S.

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